StatSheet Projects Xavier as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 02/10/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 10th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is now projecting Xavier as an NCAA Tournament bubble team but likely out unless it improves. The Musketeers are sitting at #55 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 16-8 overall record and a 7-3 record in the A-10.

During its last four games, Xavier looked solid with wins against Rhode Island, George Washington, and Charlotte but also dropped one against RPI #17 Memphis.

Xavier is weak against top competition, with a 6-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-5 record against the RPI Top 50 and no record against AP ranked teams. While the Musketeers have two quality wins including RPI #48 St. Joseph's (PA) and RPI #25 Vanderbilt, they're also hampered by a bad loss to RPI #202 Hawaii.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #57), Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #42), Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #65), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #55).

The first four teams out are Colorado (16-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #71), Minnesota (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten, StatRank #69), Ole Miss (14-9, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #68), and Oregon (17-7, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #70).

The next four out are Arizona (17-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #67), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #48), and Xavier (16-8, 7-3 A-10, StatRank #61).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Duke
#4Florida State
#5Michigan
#6Indiana
#7Connecticut
#8Alabama
#9Harvard
#10Colorado State
#11California
#12MTSU
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Florida
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5Murray State
#6Louisville
#7Creighton
#8Gonzaga
#9Seton Hall
#10Illinois
#11Iowa State
#12New Mexico
#13Brigham Young
#14Iona
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Michigan State
#4UNLV
#5Virginia
#6Mississippi State
#7Temple
#8Miami (FL)
#9West Virginia
#10Memphis
#11Kansas State
#12NC State
#13Long Beach State
#14Nevada
#15Drexel
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Southern Miss
#4San Diego State
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Vanderbilt
#8Northwestern
#9Wichita State
#10Notre Dame
#11Saint Louis
#12Oral Roberts
#13Texas
#14Purdue
#15Weber State
#16Valparaiso
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten8 1266.7%
Big East8 1650.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC6 1250.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
West Coast3 933.3%
A-102 1414.3%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Pac 121 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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A-10 Standings

OverallConf
1 Temple 24-8 13-3
2 Saint Louis 26-8 12-4
 3Xavier 23-13 10-6
3 St. Bonaventure 20-12 10-6
5 Massachusetts 25-12 9-7
5 La Salle 21-13 9-7
5 Dayton 20-13 9-7
5 StJoe 20-14 9-7
9 Duquesne 16-15 7-9
9 Richmond 16-16 7-9
11 Charlotte 13-17 5-11
11 GW 10-21 5-11
13 Rhode Island 7-24 4-12
14 Fordham 10-19 3-13
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#2 Landen Amos So G 6-3 177
#3 O`Neil Cooper Sr G 5-9 185
#0 Dee Davis Fr G 6-0 160
#15 Greg Dougan So G 6-4 170
#32 Kenny Frease Sr C 7-0 275
#52 T. Holloway Sr G 6-0 190
#10 Mark Lyons Jr G 6-1 188
#20 Justin Martin Fr F 6-6 205
#44 G. McKenzie So F 6-9 240
#31 Isaiah Philmore Jr F 6-8 230
#12 Brad Redford Jr G 6-1 182
#21 Jeff Robinson Jr F 6-10 225
#35 Erik Stenger Jr F 6-8 205
#4 Travis Taylor Jr F 6-8 220
#54 Andre Walker Sr F 6-8 225
#5 Dezmine Wells Fr G/F 6-5 215